Thursday 9 March 2023

Predicting Earthquakes

Predicting Earthquakes 

If you want a readable account about predicting earthquakes go to THIS ARTICLE from Nature. When I was at university we were taught that you could predict where an earthquake would occur. You could also opine about why, but, were told, never say when! Nowadays it seems that we still cannot say when.

You can get round the dangers of earthquakes by building earthquake tolerant buildings - a precaution not universally taken in Turkey in recent years.


The magnitude-7.8 earthquake in Turkey last month destroyed many buildings, such as this one in the city of Kahramanmaraş.Credit: Adem Altan/AFP via Getty

The Nature article gives a lot of information on current research so we can now tell (when there is sufficient data) when faults are likely to rupture - within a couple of years. But we are still not able to put a date on the next earthquake.

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