Summary of Mapping Global GNSS Vertical Velocities to Solid Earth Figure Change (Kotsakis, 2026)
A 2026 study published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth reveals that the physical shape of our planet is changing at an accelerating pace.
Earth is not a perfect sphere; it bulges slightly at the equator due to its rotation. However, using precise Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) tracking stations, geologist Christopher Kotsakis analyzed movement across Earth’s crust between 1997 and 2015. The findings show a clear global pattern: the polar landmasses are rising (uplift), while regions near the equator are sinking (subsidence). This ongoing movement means the solid surface of the Earth is gradually becoming slightly rounder and less flattened at the poles.
Between 1997 and 2000, polar regions were rising at a rate of roughly 0.5 millimeters per year. By 2015, that speed had doubled to about 1 millimeter per year, demonstrating an overall acceleration in surface deformation.
The primary driver behind this shift is the redistribution of water mass across the planet, largely fueled by climate change. As ice sheets and glaciers in places like Greenland and Antarctica melt, the immense weight pressing down on the polar crust lightens. Consequently, the rocky ground underneath springs back up (elastic rebound).
At the same time, all that melted ice flows into the global ocean network, adding heavy water weight to lower latitudes and causing the seafloor and equatorial regions to sink under the new load.
Interestingly, this creates a subtle paradox between Earth's physical ground and its gravitational field. While the rocky crust itself is becoming slightly rounder, the mass of water collecting around lower latitudes causes the planet's gravitational field to remain flattened. Overall, the study highlights how dynamic Earth's solid surface is in response to shifting climate and ocean dynamics.
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